News Summary
Savannah is experiencing economic challenges with a 0.6% decrease in the regional business index for the second quarter. This downturn has led to the loss of 500 jobs, particularly impacting the service and logistics sectors. While some sectors gained jobs, the overall job market presents a bleak picture, with declining consumer spending and tax revenues. The situation has worsened with upcoming job losses from mill closures, raising concerns about continued below-trend growth and future economic stability in the region.
Savannah is facing a significant economic downturn as recent data reveals a 0.6% decrease in the regional business index for the second quarter (Q2). This information, sourced from Georgia Southern University’s Coastal Empire Economic Monitor, indicates a concerning trend of job losses and declining consumer spending in the area, which includes Chatham, Bryan, and Effingham counties.
In Q2, the Savannah region experienced a total loss of 500 jobs, marking a reversal in momentum for an economy that was previously on an upward trajectory. Notably, the service sector suffered the most, with 400 jobs lost, followed by 300 job losses in the logistics sector. The goods-producing sector also faced setbacks, resulting in 100 job losses largely attributed to declines in construction and manufacturing.
Despite these losses, there were some positive developments, with 300 jobs gained in the retail and education/health sectors. However, overall, the job market presented a bleak picture, underscoring a “braking effect” that has gripped the local economy. This slowdown is a far cry from the sharper contractions experienced during the Great Recession, yet it raises alarms about the future economic trajectory of the region.
Key indicators of economic activity have also shown declines, with consumer spending and imports at the Georgia Ports Authority dropping in June and July. The visitor economy, an important pillar for Savannah, is showing signs of strain as hotel-motel tax revenues fell by 4.5% in Q2. Ongoing economic uncertainty is prompting both households and businesses to restrain their economic activities, contributing to a stagnation in growth.
This economic slowdown began to reveal itself in Q1, although the full extent was not apparent until the second quarter. The implementation of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, notably the “Liberation Day” tariffs introduced in April, is believed to be a contributing factor to the region’s economic woes, alongside growing consumer uncertainty.
Additionally, the situation worsened in Q3 with the closure of International Paper’s Savannah mill, which is anticipated to impact 800 jobs, along with another 300 jobs affected by the closure of IP’s Riceboro mill in Liberty County. The current economic data does not yet reflect these job losses, but future monitors are expected to reveal their significant impact.
Looking ahead, economic predictions for the fourth quarter indicate that uncertainty will persist, along with below-trend growth for the region. The data compiled in Georgia Southern University’s Q1 and Q2 Economic Monitors corresponds with a broader trend of declining economic activity, with job growth slowing in various sectors.
Moreover, experts project that the Savannah metro area will continue to experience growth below long-term trends through 2025. This is largely due to elevated uncertainty and the pressure of tariff-related price increases, which affect both consumers and businesses alike.
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